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- ======================================================================
- - N O T E F O R U F O N E T
-
- Lyndon LaRouche is, without a doubt, the most controversial figure
- ever produced since, for instance, Mussolini. He has been called
- "a small time Hitler" by Irwin Suall, who was later sued by LaRouche
- for this remark and was found innocent by a jury of LaRouche's peers.
- In the past 20 years Lyndon LaRouche is, perhaps, the person who
- has singlehandedly set back civilization's progress decades, via
- racial hate, religious ignorance, and civil terrorism, through a
- large private information-gathering service and political mechanations.
- He is also extreamly bright (perhaps even brilliant), and when not
- in manic, paranoidal, delusional savior mode, can be quite lucid.
- The following article concerns a futuristic colonization of Mars.
- For more information of the LaRouchite Cult, contact The Astro-Net.
- -d rice.
- ======================================================================
-
-
- MARS COLONIZATION BY 2027 A.D.
-
- by Lyndon H. LaRouche
-
-
- "What I am about to present to you are the highlights of
- present U.S. plans for establishing a permanent colony on Mars by
- approximately the year 2027 A.D. The plans to be outlined here
- are based on the two somewhat similar, but slightly differing
- versions of the plan as developed by various U.S. specialists.
- One plan is that first presented at a July 1985 conference in
- honor of the space pioneer, Krafft Ehricke, who died at the end
- of 1984. The second plan, is one drafted by the U.S. Space
- Commission, and presented approximately a year after the Krafft
- Ehricke conference. This presentation will emphasize the
- approach laid out at the Krafft Ehricke memorial conference, but
- it will also make use of important features of the proposals by
- the U.S. Space Commission.
-
- "For this purpose, I ask you to come with me, in your
- imagination, to a Wednesday in September, in the year 2036
- A.D., nine years after the Mars colony has been founded.
- Starting from an imaginary television broadcast to Earth on 1800
- hours London time, that day, let us look from that day and
- year, back to the time of the United States' adoption of the
- Mars colonization project, and trace each major step of the
- project from the year 1989, up to the year 2027, the year the
- first permanent colony on Mars is finally established.
-
- "Those who have worked to prepare this presentation, have
- thought that we must use our powers of imagination in this way.
- It is thought, that we must focus attention on our destination
- as we outline each step of a journey. It seems to us, that
- that is the only way this project, and its importance for all
- mankind, can be properly understood.
-
- "To present the project in this way, it is necessary to
- include some imaginary political figures and political events,
- so that we might present this as a story. However, the
- technical facts we use here represent the scientific and related
- facts of the Mars colonization plan as those facts exist today."
- ----------------------------------------------------------------
-
- THE WOMAN ON MARS
- =================
-
-
- The BBC television studio's clock says that it is 1600 hours
- in London, on Wednesday, September **, 2036 A.D. From **
- millions miles away, on Mars, a televised image travels **
- minutes across space, to be picked up by the giant geostationary
- receiver hovering over the South Atlantic, from where the signal
- is relayed to other satelites, reaching waiting disk-antennas
- around the world. A woman's face appears on the BBC screen.
-
- The woman on the screen is in her late thirties. The sight
- of her familiar features brings expressions of admiration to the
- viewing audiences now receiving this live broadcast around most
- of the world. She is Dr. Ellen Jones, chief executive of the
- Mars colony, and the daughter of the famous space pioneer, Dr.
- Walter Jones, who headed the U.S.A.'s Mars-colonization program
- from 2008 until his retirement in 2027.
-
- "I bring you greetings from your 683,648 relatives and
- friends living here on Mars, and some very good news," she
- begins. "Our astrophysicists agree, that with our latest
- series of observations at our Cyclops III radiotelescope, we
- have solved at least a good part of the mystery of what you know
- as black holes. We are convinced that we are at the verge of
- fundamentally new ideas about how our universe works."
-
- The TV audience followed her five-minute televised report
- with a scientific interest which would have been unimaginable
- when the Mars-colonization mission was first launched by the
- U.S., back in March 1989.
-
- The 1990s flights of transatmospheric craft up to stations
- in low Earth orbit, had revived the spirit of the popularity of
- space-exploration from the Apollo-project period of the 1960s.
- After Earth's first geostationery space-terminal had been
- completed near the end of the 1990s, manned flights to the Moon
- had sson become routine. Over the 1990s, the point was reached
- that every school-child, not only in the U.S., Europe, and
- Japan, but throughout the world. demanded to know everything
- possible about space.
-
- Beginning the 1990s, fewer and fewer university students
- attended courses in the social sciences, as the physical
- sciences, including space biology, took over the classrooms
- almost completely. Even at pre-school ages, more and more
- children, asked what gift they wished for Christmas, would
- answer, "a telescope." As the industrialization of the Moon
- began near the end of the Twenty-First Century's first decade, to
- look up was to express optimism about the human race's future.
- Space and the spirit of adventure became one and the same.
-
- There had been a deeper quality of changes in attitudes.
- What had been the most popular competitive sports of the
- Twentieth Century became less popular, and achievement in
- swimming, track and field, and mountain-climbing the most
- popular features of physical education programs. "Keeping in
- shape for space-travel," was the value which more and more
- attached to physical education.
-
- Twentieth-Century man would be astonished to know the new
- way in which "spirit of adventure" was translated during the
- early decades of the Twenty-First. Some things Twentieth
- Century man would have recognized. Being the first to set foot
- on some planetary body, was of course a commonplace fantasy
- among children and youth. The difference was, most teen-agers,
- and some much younger, already knew the real purpose of space-
- exloration. That purpose was, to acquire knowledge which the
- human race needed, and could not gain without scientific
- exploration of our universe in a way which could not be done
- without travelling far beyond Earth's orbit. The idea of
- adventure, was not a matter of simply getting to some strange
- place out there. Exciting adventure, was to participate in
- making some exciting new discovery in space, which would be
- useful to the majority of the human race remaining back here on
- Earth.
-
- So, those children and youth gobbled up every bit of
- information they could, with the purpose being to understand
- what kind of knowledge mankind was seeking out there.
-
- The last two years, 2025-2026, just before the building of
- the first permanent colony on Mars, had seen the most rapid
- transformation in popular values here on Earth.
-
- The TV screens had been filled often with images of those
- giant spacecraft, each much larger than a Twentieth Century
- ocean liner, taking off from the vicinity of Earth's
- Geostationery space-terminal, in flotillas of five or more,
- each seeming to thunder silently in the near-vacuum under one-
- gravity acceleration. By then, a permanent space-terminal was
- being constantly manned in Mars orbit. The televised broadcasts
- from that terminal showed the monstrous space-craft arriving.
- Earth's television screens showed the gradual accumulation of
- that vast amount of material in Mars orbit, waiting for the day
- it would descend to Mars surface. TV viewers on Earth saw the
- first craft, designed to descend and rise through the thin
- atmosphere of Mars, and saw views of approaching Mars surface
- from the cockpit, through the eyes of the cameras.
-
- A great anticipation built up throughout Earth's population
- during those last two preparatory years. Then, Earth went
- through what was afterward described as the "sleepless year," as
- the first city was assembled on Mars, during 2027, Audiences
- on Earth demanded to see every step of the construction relayed
- back here. Nearly everyone on Earth became thus a "sidewalk
- superintendent" for as many available hours as his or her sleep-
- starved eyes could be kept open. On waking, it was the same.
- The daily successes reported from Mars were discussed as widely
- and in as much detail as Twentieth Century sports fans debated
- the details of a weekend's football play.
-
- By then, holographic projections had become as economical
- and commonplace as personal computers had been during the 1980s.
- Building a synthetic holographic model of the solar system, and
- constructing a powered-flight trajectory, such as one between
- Earth and Mars, became quite literally child's play. A child's
- parent could purchase a packaged program at a local store, and
- the child often insisted that this be done. Turning on one's
- system, and updating the positions of the planets and the course
- of a space-flotilla flight in progress, became a habit with
- many. The same was done with various stages of the construction
- of the first permanent colony. Whatever was seen on the TV
- screen, was something one wished to reconstruct. The passive
- TV watching of the Twentieth Century had come to an end.
-
- The first large-aperture radiotelescopes had been
- constructed a millions or so miles from Mars, as soon as the
- manned orbiting space-terminal had been completed. The system
- of observatories and space-laboratories associated with them,
- was expanded rapidly, once the first hundred thousand permanent
- colonists had begun to settle in. Popular fascination here on
- Earth, shifted its focus somewhat from the Mars colony itself,
- to these new projects.
-
- It was such a world-wide audience which sat or stood,
- absorbed with every sentence of Dr. Jones' five-minute report,
- either as it was being broadcast, or a when morning reached them
- a few hours later. Throughout the planet, over the course of
- that Wednesday and Thursday, there was the eerily joyful sense
- that humanity had reached a major milestone in the existence of
- our species. It would be said, in later decades, than on that
- day in 2036, the Age of Reason had truly begun.
-
- At the beginning of the 1950s, space pioneers such as Willy
- Braun had begun working-out the specifications for manned flights
- to Mars. One leading Peenemunde veteran, NASA's Krafft
- Ehricke, had been certain that the U.S. could have sent a manned
- exploratory flight to Mars as early as the 1980s.
- Unfortunately, near the end of 1966, the United States had cut
- back massively on its aerospace program. Presidents Johnson and
- Nixon did not eliminate President Kennedy's popular commitment to
- a manned landing on the Moon from the NASA program, but most of
- the other aerospace projects were cut back, and cut back
- savagely as soon as the program of initial Moon landings had been
- completed. Krafft Ehricke continued toward his completion of
- the design for industrialization of the Moon, but he died in
- 1984, his work nearly completed on paper, with no visible
- prospect that the U.S. would resume such a commitment during the
- forseeable future.
-
- It was not until shortly after Ehricke's death that a
- renewed U.S. commitment to colonization of Mars appeared. The
- proposal for a permanent colony on Mars as early as the middle
- 2020s, was a featured presentation at a Virginia conference held
- in honor of Krafft's memory, in July 1985. Nearly a year after
- that, the U.S. Space Commission adopted the same target-date,
- and its proposal was endorsed, although without significant
- funding, by President Ronald Reagan. However, the Mars-
- colonization project was a featured part of the January 1989
- State of the Union address of the new President. During March
- of 1989 a U.S. Moon-Mars Colonization Commission was established.
- During that month, the Congress rushed through approval of
- treaty-agreements which the President negotiated with Japan and
- western European governments, establishing these allies as
- partners in the U.S.-sponsored Moon-Mars Colonization Project.
-
- Popular enthusiasm for the project was so great, that the
- President was able to secure a $5 billions initial budgetary
- allotment for the new project. Japan matched this with an
- sizably increased allotment to its own aerospace program shortly
- after that. Confident that changes in U.S. policies were going
- to bring the world out of what threatened to become a major
- depression, western European governments came close, in total,
- to matching Japan's bugetary allotment.
-
- The successive phases of the Moon-Mars colonization project
- were agreed upon that same year.
-
- It was quickly understood, that planting a permanent colony
- on Mars is a far different sort of undertaking than sending a
- manned exploratory vessel to visit Mars. Leaders recognized,
- that to establish a colony of even a few hundreds members of
- scientific parties on Mars would require a very large complex of
- production workers, agriculturalists, so forth.
-
- Back at the end of the 1980s, most citizens and politicians
- did not yet understand the significance of the fact that Mars is
- an average 55 millions distance from Earth during the period one
- might ordinarily think of making such a flight. To sustain
- just a few hundreds persons there, was, by late Twentieth-
- Century standards, a tremendous number of ton-miles of freight
- to be shipped from Earth annually. The scientists understood
- this immediately, of course, but it required a lot of effort to
- make this clear to most of the politicians, and to popular
- opinion.
-
- The scientists realized very soon, that we should plan to
- put not just hundreds of scientists, engineers, and
- technicians, on Mars. The purpose for going to Mars in the
- first place was scientific investigations. The main purpose was
- to build a system of enormous radiotelescopes in the region of
- space near Mars, and to conduct the construction, maintenance,
- and improvements of these observatories from bases both in Mars
- orbit and on the surface of the planet. Using U.S. experience
- in demonstration-tests of trained human individuals efficiency
- working in low-gravity Earth orbit, it was estimated, that to
- construct as many observatories as Earth would need to explore
- the universe in as fine detail as must be done from Mars orbit,
- would require hundreds of thousands of man-hours each year.
- This figure included estimates on the number of days a year a
- human being could safely work in a very low-gravity field.
-
- The scientists estimated, that the cost of keeping a
- research worker alive on Mars adds up a total amount of equipment
- more than ten times required to sustain a scientist in the middle
- of the Sahara or Antarctica. This did not include the estimated
- costs of transporting all that tonnage from Earth to Mars. The
- scientists explained to the politicians, "Mars is a very cold
- place by Earth standards, with a very thin atmosphere, a
- shortage of known water-supplies, and a lower gravity than
- Earth. People living on Mars must live in man-made environments
- under protective domes. The costs of maintaining those domes,
- of maintaining water supplies, of maintaining the atmosphere,
- and maintaining an acceptable temperature within the artificial
- climate, are enormous by Earth standards." The biggest factor
- of cost those scientists had to consider was the cost of energy;
- they estimated that more than ten times the amount on energy
- must be available, per person, on Mars, than the energy
- directly consumed by research teams in the Sahara or Antartica.
-
- They decided that the basic source of energy used on Mars
- would have to be thermonuclear fusion. They pointed out, that
- the Mars colony would need very concentrated sources of
- industrial energy, to enable the colony to produce food and to
- sustain itself with the largest part of its requirements in
- materials.
-
- So, it was agreed that the way to sustain our teams of
- research workers on Mars, was to build a local supporting
- economy in Mars. They estimated that between a quarter and a
- half millions total population would be the minimum size for a
- successful colony. They thought that this might be sufficient,
- if we gave Mars the new generation of industrial technologies
- which were in the initial development stages on Earth back during
- the 1980s.
-
- They saw, that to get that number of people to Mars,
- together with all that was needed to start up a colony of this
- size, was plainly impossible using the methods worked out for
- sending a manned exploratory flight to Mars. To lift that
- amount of weight from Earth's surface, up into high Earth orbit,
- by conventional rocket methods in use in the 1980s, was beyond
- possible limits of cost. Even if the cost were greatly reduced
- by improved methods of lift-off, the amount of weight which
- would have to be lifted to deliver the requirements of a quarter
- to half a millions Mars colonists from Earth, was still so
- costly as to be out of the question.
-
- The politicians had imagined, wrongly, that starting a
- colony on Mars was like establishing a research base-station in
- the Antarctic. The politicians imagined, that the
- technologies developed for sending a manned team of explorers
- could be expanded to transport a much larger number of
- colonists. The scientists had to make clear why this idea was
- badly mistaken.
-
- First of all, human bodies are designed to function under
- one Earth gravity, or at least something near to that. The
- human body might be able to adapt to gravities a large fraction
- of those on Earth, but long flights at nearly zero-gravity are
- very risky, and were thought to be quite possibly fatal. So,
- the idea of sending people to Mars in the way we sent astronauts
- to the Moon, was ruled out. The best way they knew to create
- the effect of one Earth gravity in space-craft was to have that
- spacecraft constantly powered by one Earth gravity's worth of
- acceleration, creating an effect very much like way a person's
- weight increases when being accelerated upward in a twentieth
- century elevator. The scientists pointed out, that powered
- flight at one-Earth-gravity acceleration, made possible new
- kinds of trajectory-paths between Mars and Earth, and reduced
- the travel time enormously.
-
- Some pointed out that this might be possible with ion-
- engines powered by fission reactors. It was agreed that
- thermonuclear fusion would be far superior in several ways. They
- explained that fusion energy was the form of energy production
- which would be needed on Mars. The problem they tackled was
- convincing the politicians that the needed development of fusion
- energy had to be completed before the Mars trips began.
-
- It was decided, that the beginning, that the main part of
- solving the problem of lifting weight into geostationery Earth
- orbit from Earth's surface, would be industrializing the Moon.
- Provided fusion power could be established on the Moon, they
- guessed that more than ninety percent of the total weight of
- large space-vessels, could be produced on the Moon, and lifted
- into Moon orbit at a small fraction of the cost of producing
- these materials on Earth. The same thing would apply to most of
- the materials set to Mars to construct the first stages of a
- permanent colony. Space-vessels to Mars, could be assembled in
- either Moon orbit or Earth orbit, and launched from either
- place.
-
- Still, a lot of people and weight must be lifted from
- Earth. The scientists decided, that using a rocket to get
- beyond the Earth's atmosphere is like designing an aircraft to
- fly under water. The idea of using a transatmospheric aircraft
- to get above the atmosphere, had been under discussion for
- decades, and preliminary designs were fairly well advanced
- during the course of the 1980s. It was decided to push the
- development of transatmospheric craft, to build up a network of
- low-orbiting space-terminals. This would provide the cheapest
- possible way of moving large numbers of people, and large
- amounts of freight, up beyond the atmosphere. It would also be
- the cheapest and safest way to bring people down from orbit to
- airports on the Earth.
-
- By that time, there were already designs for what were then
- called "space ferries." These "space ferries" would carry
- people and materials over the distance from the low-orbitting
- terminals, to the locations of the main space-terminals, in
- Earth's geostationery orbit. These geostationery terminals
- became the locations at which technicians assembled the craft
- used for regular travel between Earth and Moon.
-
- So, on August **, 2000, the first routine travel between
- Earth and the Moon was begun. Some of the astronauts grumbled,
- complaining that they had become high-paid airline pilots. It
- was pretty much routine. It was policy, that the pilot made
- only a few round-trips between the Moon and Earth-orbit, before
- being sent back to Earth for rest and rehabilitation, although
- the main Earth space-terminals already had a one-Earth-gravity
- artificial environment at that time. After a few trips, the
- space-pilots would board a regular bus-run of the space ferry at
- the space-station, get off at a low-orbitting terminal, and
- catch the next transatmospheric flight back to Earth.
-
- Few people living in 2036 remember this obscure event, but
- back in 1986, the United States sent two pilots to prove that an
- propeller aircraft could make a non-stop trip around the world.
- Most scientists thought the trip was a silly way to waste money
- for no useful purpose. The only reason one would mention that
- obscure flight in 2036, would be to show the kinds of problems
- the scientists faced in explaining space-colonization to the
- politicians and voters.
-
- Imagine a propeller aircraft, the combined weight of whose
- engines, fuselage, and pilots are nearly zero. In other words,
- how far can a pound of gasoline fly itself, given the
- efficiencies of propeller aircraft? So, this obscure flight
- was designed, making the weights of engines, fuselage, and
- pilots, as small a percentile of the weight of the plane's
- maximum fuel load as possible. What did the flight prove?
- Nothing that a qualified aeronautics engineer could not have
- proven with an electronic hand calculator.
-
- The problem, back in 1989, was to explain to the
- politicians and public how this same problem, of total weight to
- fuel weight, limited the possibilities for getting into space,
- and affected the costs of getting a pound of weight into space.
- As everyone knows today, the further a vessel moves from a
- planet's strongest gravitational pull, the less fuel it costs to
- accelerate a pound of weight.
-
- The politicians got the point. The system of getting into
- space, from the Earth's surface to the geostationary space
- terminal, and to the Moon's orbit, was a kind of pyramid. The
- distance from Earth's geostationary terminal to Moon-orbit, was
- the tip of the pyramid. The transatmosopheric system, between
- the Earth's surface and the low-orbitting terminals, was the
- broadast strip of the pyramid. The space ferries, moving back
- and forth between the low-orbitting terminals and the
- geostationary terminal, were the middle section of the pyramid.
-
- One of the biggest obstacles the space program had to
- overcome, was the massive prejudice most of the politicians and
- public had built up against nuclear fission over nearly twenty
- years, between 1970 and the time the project began, in 1989.
- The political factor, of fear of nuclear radiation, was far
- more important than the engineering problems involved in
- using nuclear fission safely as a power-source for aircraft and
- space vehicles. This prejudice was a major engineering
- difficulty, since nuclear fission gives much more power per unit
- of weight than chemical fuels. In all travel, the ratio of
- total weight to weight of the maximum fuel load, is the most
- important of the economic limits to be faced.
-
- However, by that time, thermonuclear fusion as a power
- source was nearly a reality. Fusion is vastly more efficient as
- a fuel-user, than nuclear fission. So, nuclear fission was
- the power-source for regular flights between Earth-orbit and Moon
- orbit during those early years after 2000, but its uses for
- other modes of flight was avoided.
-
- To get from Earth-Moon to Mars, required us to develop
- another pyramid, with the base of the pyramid running from
- Earth's geostationary orbit to the Moon's production, the
- tip of the pyramid reaching Mars surface, and the distance
- between the base-line and Mars-orbit the lower portion of the
- pyramid's volume.
-
- A third pyramid was designed. The base of this pyramid was
- on Mars' surface. Just as on Earth, we must move passengers
- and some freight from Mars' surface into Mars orbits. From
- there, in Mars orbit, the pyramid branches in two directions.
- One direction leads back to Earth orbit. The other direction
- was powered travel, as from Earth orbit to Moon orbit, to and
- from the radiotelescopes and space laboratories constructed in
- the general vicinity of Mars.
-
- Those three pyramids became the fundamental design of the
- system of transportation as a whole.
-
- Once the first of the two pyramids had been designed, the
- key bottleneck next to be mastered, was production on the Moon.
-
- Quite clearly, the scientists could not think of building a
- nineteenth-century-style metals industry on the Moon. The
- combustion of oxygen, which had been the basis for metal-working
- on Earth deep into the Twentieth Century, was not a workable
- proposition on the Moon, even if a combustible fuel could be
- found. Only three sources of industrial energy could be found.
- Electricity could be generated in various ways, or nuclear
- fission or thermonuclear fusion could be used. Some hoped
- that a fusionable isotope of helium could be mined on the Moon.
-
- Krafft Ehricke had worked out a nuclear-fission economy for
- the Moon, but it was realized that a thermonuclear-fusion
- economy would be far better. For the rest, the standard
- handbooks of physics and chemistry already existing in the 1980s
- were most helpful.
-
- The policy decided upon was this. As every school-child
- knows his ABCs in 2036, production of inorganic materials is a
- matter of what most back in the 1980s still referred to as the
- available temperatures of production processes. If the highest
- industrial temperatures then in general use, could be increased
- by an absolute factor of slightly less than ten times existing
- modes, there was no material in the solar system which can not
- be reduced to a plasma form under such conditions. Back in the
- 1980s, we had only two ways in sight for doing this effeciently,
- thermonuclear fusion and coherent electromagnetic pulses of high
- frequency, and very high energy-density cross-section of impact
- upon targetted materials.
-
- The problem which the project's leaders faced then, was
- that if we reduce material to its plasma state, how do we handle
- it. The answer is familiar to every school-child in 2036, but
- it was a major problem for the scientists back in 1989. The key
- to the solution was obviously lessons learned in experimental
- efforts to develop thermonuclear fusion as a source of power.
-
- If was clear from the beginning of the project, that if the
- schedules set for Mars colonization were to be realized, it was
- indispensable to accelerate thermonuclear-fusion development and
- development of techniques associated with high-frequency lasers
- and particle beams. The development of the gamma-ray laser was
- given much higher priority through these decisions. The
- decision was made, to achieve what were called then "second
- generation" thermonuclear fusion technologies by the middle of
- the Twenty First Century's first decade, and to put accelerated
- efforts behind mastery of techniques for production of materials
- using electromagnetically confined plasmas.
-
- The fact that we were obliged to force the development of
- advanced technologies then on the horizon, in order that we
- might solve the materials-production problems we faced on the
- Moon, greatly accelerated our civilization's development of
- newer types of ceramics. We did not have the development of
- ceramic materials of anomalous crystalline structures on the list
- of project requirements at the start, but once we recognized the
- advantages of materials so novel to us at that time, we added
- the forced development of these technologies to our project.
-
- In the same way, we were forced to develop the early
- varieties of laser machine-tools in general use in 2036, to be
- able to machine these new materials. Our project brought the
- techniques of electromagnetic isotope separation up to a level of
- refinement still considered modern today.
-
- It was the success of these breakthroughs in fusion, lasers,
- and very-high energy-dense production processes, which made the
- industrialization of the Moon such a brilliant success. It was
- by perfecting these methods and processes for the
- industrialization of the Moon that we solved in advance the major
- problems we would have otherwise faced during the initial
- colonization of Mars. The building-up of the Moon's
- industrialization was the major factor forcing us to delay the
- beginning of Mars colonization until 2027. Had we not developed
- the technologies needed for industrialization of the Moon, as we
- did, the colonization of Mars would have been delayed by a
- decade or more.
-
- Some of the 1985-1986 plans included a heavy emphasis on new
- directions in biology, but without the desperate fight Earth had
- to mobilize against the AIDS pandemic, it is doubtful that many
- supporters of our Mars colonization project would have been won
- over to supporting this line of research to the degree which
- later proved necessary, once the Mars colonization had begun.
- So, today, we are able to incorporate the benefits of this
- research into designs of systems for manned deep-space
- explorations. and have overcome most of the fears of possible
- strange diseases which might be encountered, or might develop,
- in our further explorations and colonizations of space.
-
- It was not until the late 1990s, that the last significant
- political opposition to the costliness of the Mars-colonization
- project was overcome.
-
- We began the project in 1989, under what might seem to have
- been the worst economic conditions for such an undertaking.
- Over the preceding twenty-five years, most of the world had been
- caught in a long process of economic decline, which we described
- then as a drift into a "post-industrial society." In many of
- the then-industrialized nations, the average income of
- households had fallen to about 70% of the real purchasing power
- of 1966 and 1967. Entire industries which had existed during
- the 1960s, had either been wiped out or nearly so, in many of
- these nations. The basic economic infrastructure, such things
- as water-management and sanitation systems, general
- transportation of freight, energy systems, and educational and
- health-care systems, were in a state of advanced decay. To
- cover over the collapse of incomes, a massive spiral of
- borrowing had occurred in all sectors of government, production,
- and households; a terrible financial crisis had built up.
-
- Those who pushed the Mars colonization project the most,
- including the President of the United States, did not view the
- project as a way of spending a large surplus of wealth. It was
- seen by them as a way of helping to revive a decaying economy,
- and also a way of showing all mankind that our species has
- meaningful opportunities for present and future generations,
- opportunities as limitless as the universe itself.
-
- At first, many grumbled political objections against the
- large sums of money spent. As the citizens saw new industries
- and employment opportunities opening up as a result of the Mars
- project, the political support for the project grew. Over the
- course of the first ten years, the project grew in importance as
- a technological stimulant to the growth of economies. Then,
- the first decade of the Twenty-First Century, there were waves of
- revolutionary improvements in methods of production; many of
- these benefits were the direct result of using the new space
- technologies in everyday production back on Earth. The
- political opposition to the project's cost vanished.
-
- One of the first of the developing nations to join Japan,
- the U.S., and western Europe, in the project, was India. The
- next were Argentina and Brazil. The project's leaders and
- sponsors showed wisdom in encouraging participation in their own
- programs by young scientists from many nations. The fact that
- we may be so confident that general war has disappeared from
- Earth in 2036, can be credited to the Mars colonization project
- to a large degree. The rate of technological advancement and
- increase of wealth in the nations which undertook the project
- from the start, has been such that no potential adversary would
- think of attacking them.
-
- As it became clearer to everyone that there were going to be
- large permanent colonies in Mars during the middle of the Twenty-
- First Century, the general idea of developing the worst deserts
- of Earth worked its way into policies of governments. Africa,
- whose population-level collapsed by more than 100 millions during
- the course of the AIDS pandemic, is growing again, and only the
- Sahel region, but large stretches of the Sahara are blooming
- areas with new, modern cities.
-
- No one talks of over-population any more. The idea off
- transforming the Earth-sized moon of Saturn, Titan, into a new
- colony, beginning forty to fifty years from now, is already
- more popular than the colonization of Nars was, back during the
- late 1980s. Titan's atmosphere is poisonous, but we can
- forsee ourselves gaining the kinds of technologies needed to
- Earth-form a planetary body of that sort. The strongest voice
- for this is coming from the Mars colonists, who now say that
- they find everything delightful on Mars but its uncomfortably low
- gravity. There is also big pressure for such new major space-
- projects from circles tied closely to the Moon industrialization
- program; they say that Moon industries are ripe for a major new
- challenge.
-
- The Mars colony will be almost self-sustaining within
- another ten years. No one on Earth worries any more about
- Earth's continued subsidy of the colony; who doubts today, that
- the economic benefits area already vastly greater than the
- amounts we have spent. There are now over two hundred space-craft
- travelling back and forth between the orbits of Earth and Mars,
- and with each journey, more going to Mars, than returning. We
- expect the population to reach over a million within a few
- years. We wonder if more than a handful living back in the
- late 1980s dreamed how much their decisions would change not only
- the world, but the solar system, for the better, within two
- generations.
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